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		<title>How is the whole loan modification thing going?</title>
		<link>https://resultsadvisors.com/how-is-the-whole-loan-modification-thing-going/</link>
		<comments>https://resultsadvisors.com/how-is-the-whole-loan-modification-thing-going/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 02:43:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Unless you have spent the last 24 hours under a rock, you already know that on Monday, before coming out to shake down Hollywood for re-election money, President Obama released the latest version of “Washington Helps Homeowners in Trouble”.  Those changes will be discussed in a separate article. The more basic question is how the&#160;<a href="https://resultsadvisors.com/how-is-the-whole-loan-modification-thing-going/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Unless you have spent the last 24 hours under a rock, you already know that on Monday, before coming out to shake down Hollywood for re-election money, President Obama released the latest version of “Washington Helps Homeowners in Trouble”.  Those changes will be discussed in a separate article.

The more basic question is how the whole loan modification program is going at the national level. The Treasury Department collects the figures and releases them, but you would have a hard time finding them anywhere in the national media. An organization called Pro Publica has gone out and done what journalists no longer do, their homework. They pulled together the statistics on the Government’s loan modification program and came up with the figures in the table below.

We went ahead and added an additional figure that Pro Publica did not; the loan modification “failure rate.” That’s the percentage of loan modifications which have been cancelled against the total number of loan modifications reported. In the failure rate analysis, we did not address the loan modifications “in trial” or “aged trials” since the outcome of these two groups are unknown.

Some explanation is in order. These are HAMP loan modifications, a government program. The numbers don’t appear to reflect the number of non-HAMP loan modifications which have been attempted or granted; this data is not collected by the feds. It is collected by private organizations such as Lender Processing Services, but the data is proprietary and is reported only as the number of pre-foreclosure filings.

Under HAMP, the homeowner must submit the now famous stack of stuff, which is then lost at least four times by the servicer. When the homeowner or the agent for the homeowner displays the temerity and persistence to keep resubmitting the stack of stuff, a temporary loan modification for three months may be granted. If the modified payments are made for those three months, the homeowner becomes eligible for a permanent modification.

In this table “in trial” means the loan is within the initial 3 month period. “Aged” trial means the loan is still in temporary loan modification status outside of the three month window. The table picks up these files at the six month mark. Aged trials are not unusual. Some of these “temporary” loan modifications last more than a year before being cancelled or granted. “Canceled trials” means the loan modification was killed at the temporary stage. “Permanent Mods” means that there was a material change to the terms and conditions of the loan; there are no details on the individual files. “Canceled mods” means permanent loan modifications that were cancelled after being granted.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Here are the numbers:

<span style="text-decoration: underline;">Name               Started       In Trial  Aged Trial  Cancelled Trial  Permanent Mod  Cancelled Mod</span>

Overall            1,639,282  92,051    23,014      760,796              657,044               106,027

BofA                401,251     26,530      9,350         217,120              127,355               20,856

Chase               256,560     17,223      3,485         128,010                 89,231               18,611

Wells Fargo     234,666      11,996     1,476         118,006                  91,392              11,796

Citibank           130,347       3,436      1,791         72,287                 46,634                6,199

One West        53,699       3,737          236           20,773                 26,006                 2,917

AHMSI            33,588        2,224          538           4,598                  22,585                3,643

<strong>Failure Rates:</strong>

<strong>Overall:           53%</strong>

<strong>BofA               59%</strong>

<strong>Chase             57%</strong>

<strong>Wells Fargo    55%</strong>

<strong>Citibank         60%</strong>

<strong>One West       44%</strong>

<strong>AHMSI           25%</strong>

Notes:  1.  This table does not include all HAMP servicers; only the major players.

2. Bank of America numbers include Countrywide loans.

One West and AHMSI were included for two reasons. First, OneWest has a nasty reputation of being terrible to deal with since Uncle Sugar Daddy basically indemnified them for losses when they took over IndyMac Bank; so the fact they are below 50% for their failure rate was a nice surprise. AHMSI is included because it filed for bankruptcy in 2007 and was purchased last year by Wilbur Ross &amp; Co., a hedge fund known for corporate turnarounds. Their figures give you some insight on what is possible in loan modifications when a diligent effort is made.

The depressing point of the loan modification program is that the failure rate of the too big to fail bank mortgage departments runs between 55 and 60%;  not encouraging at all. This is especially a problem when an “aged trial” loan is rejected for a permanent modification; by then the homeowner will have made a year or more of payments only to be denied for a permanent modification and again face foreclosure.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The New Harp Rules And What You Should Know About Them</title>
		<link>https://resultsadvisors.com/the-new-harp-rules-and-what-you-should-know-about-them/</link>
		<comments>https://resultsadvisors.com/the-new-harp-rules-and-what-you-should-know-about-them/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 02:41:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[By all accounts, the HARP program has been less than successful, and there have been several changes over the past few years to try to improve its’ dismal track record. The most recent of these changes were announced on Monday October 24. The program was originally to help some 5 million homeowners, as of August&#160;<a href="https://resultsadvisors.com/the-new-harp-rules-and-what-you-should-know-about-them/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[By all accounts, the HARP program has been less than successful, and there have been several changes over the past few years to try to improve its’ dismal track record. The most recent of these changes were announced on Monday October 24.

The program was originally to help some 5 million homeowners, as of August 31, 2011, about 894,000 homeowners were actually helped. This number is not quite as good as one would believe, since if you drill down through the data, about 20% of the HARP loans refinanced had LTV ratios of between 105 and 125%, and the rest were either slightly underwater or had positive equity.

The new program is called HARP Phase II.

The changes are actually for the better, and will expand the number of loans which are eligible for the program. The program does not help everybody, and imposes a significant restriction on people who followed their banks advice when they attempted to obtain a loan modification, as will be discussed below. The big change is that the previous 125% LTV cap has been lifted.

Here are the main features of the program:
<ol>
	<li>Your mortgage must have been issued before May 31, 2009.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>Your mortgage must have been sold to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. If you are unsure of this, go to these websites: <a href="http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup">www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup</a></li>
</ol>
Or ww3.freddiemac.com/corporate to see if your loan is owned by one of them.

&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>You cannot have previously refinanced under HARP, unless you fit a very narrow Fannie Mae window for a previous refinance.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>The current loan to value ration must be greater than 80%.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>There is no LTV cap. The prior 125% LTV cap has been eliminated.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>The borrower must be current on the mortgage at the time of the refinance, with no late payment in the past six months and no more than one late payment in the past 12 months.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>The new program will become effective in early 2012. HARP itself has been extended to December 31, 2013.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>If you are refinancing from a fixed rate mortgage to an adjustable rate mortgage, the loan to value ratio is 105%</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;
<ol>
	<li>Condominiums remain eligible for refinancing, assuming the above criteria are met.</li>
</ol>
&nbsp;

A major shift has been to shortening mortgage terms. Previously, HARP loans were refinanced into 30 year loans. New shorter term loans supposedly will help borrowers pay down their mortgages and build equity more quickly. Also, the interest rates on HARP loans for shorter term loans are lower than for 30 year loans, which will impact the monthly payments.

&nbsp;

Analysis:

&nbsp;

Like the previous HARP program, there is no teeth to HARP II. Making HARP loans continues to be voluntary on the part of the lending industry. According to a Bloomberg article, most lenders don’t foresee making these loans, because they are considered high risk. In addition, with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac being more and more cautious, lenders are worried about “claw backs” in the event a HARP loan goes bad.

&nbsp;

Industry estimates are that about 600,000 loans will meet the new criteria and be eligible for HARP II.

&nbsp;

The biggest disqualifying factor remains the loan history. Homeowners who approached their loan servicers about a loan modification, are uniformly told that if their loan is current there is no chance of a loan modification; most are told to be 60 to 90 days late. This means that if you attempted to obtain a loan modification before HARP II, you are not eligible for HARP II and have to continue on the loan modification or short sale path.

&nbsp;

Until HARP is modified to allow a way out for homeowners who are facing loan modification hell, it is going to be far less effective than Washington and the news media hope.]]></content:encoded>
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